Trade Profile: Garrett Crochet, LHP

Trade Profile: Garrett Crochet, LHP

Garrett Crochet

Position: SP
B/T:
L/L
Age: 25 (21-06-1999)

Traditional statistics 2024: 18 GS, 6-6, 101 1/3 IP, 3.02 ERA, 0.928 WHIP, 12.5 SO/9, 1.8 BB/9
Advanced Statistics 2024: 4.0 bWAR, 137 ERA+, 2.37 FIP, 35.3 SO%, 5 BB%, 43.6 GB%, 0.9 HR/9

Trade Profile: Garrett Crochet, LHP

Overview

Garrett Croche was finally released by the White Sox in 2024. And he looks like Chris Sales 2.0.

The left-hander out of the University of Tennessee was drafted with the 11th overall pick in 2020 and was called up immediately that year to help the Sox win a championship during the shortened season. Like Sale, he started out of the bullpen in 2020 and was stellar in that role in 2021. Crochet threw to a 2.82 ERA and struck out 10.8 batters per nine, quickly establishing himself as one of the better left-handed relievers in baseball.

After missing all of the 2022 season and most of 2023 due to Tommy John surgery, the White Sox felt Crochet was ready to make the move into the rotation. They announced Crochet as the Opening Day starter, marking the beginning of what has been a Cy Young-worthy season.

In 19 starts in his first season in the rotation, Crochet has a 3.08 ERA with 146 strikeouts and a Major League-leading 12.5 K/9 in 105 1/3 innings.

The southpaw primarily throws three pitches, including a 97-100 mph fastball, a 91 mph cutter and an 84 mph slider. Crochet also has a changeup, but throws it only six percent of the time.

All of Crochet’s pitches are dominant. The fastball and slider all have a 24.7% putaway rate, with his cutter being his primary strikeout pitch with a 32.1% putaway rate. He is a strikeout machine, striking out 32.8% of the batters he faces.

There really is no downside to Crochet this year. He leads the league in strikeouts, games pitched, FIP (fielding independent pitching), and strikeouts per nine. Even his 3.08 ERA is significantly higher than his 2.47 xERA.

The only negative for Crochet is his lack of professional innings. His previous season high was 54 1/3 in 2021 as a reliever, and his current 105 1/3 innings is more than all of his previous career innings combined.

Fortunately, he hasn’t had any injuries this season and is on the mound every fifth day. With a salary close to the league minimum in 2024 and two years of post-season control, Crochet will be a hot commodity at the trade deadline.

package

Any team that trades Crochet will have to cough up top talent. As mentioned, Crochet has two and a half years of control after the deadline, and the White Sox are looking to rebuild a broken farm system.

The White Sox are rumored to be asking for top talent back, along with other pieces to help build their future. Here’s what a potential deal for Crochet would look like, including righty Michael Kopech to help a struggling Mets bullpen:

Mets received:

  • Garrett Crochet (SP)
  • Michael Kopech (RHP)

White Sox Received:

Scott and Acuña are the big names in this deal. Scott showed promise in his Major League debut, posting a 4.15 ERA in seven starts. Meanwhile, Acuña continues to impress with his bat-to-ball skills and speed in the minors.

Vasil and McLouglin are valuable pieces that complete the trade. Vasil struggled initially at Syracuse this season, but has pitched to a 4.30 ERA with just four walks in his last 23 innings. McLoughlin was an Arizona Fall League player last offseason and is currently pitching to a 2.59 ERA with 29 strikeouts in 24 1/3 innings at Double-A Binghamton.

Recommendation

The price for Crochet will be high. And in the mock trade above, the Mets would lose a promising pitcher in Scott, along with Acuña who they acquired at the deadline last year.

But at the same time, it’s Garrett Crochet. I’m definitely pulling the trigger.

The left-hander is nothing short of dominant and has been in control for years. Crochet is an undeniable ace, the kind you confidently put in Game 1 of a playoff series. Arms like that are hard to come by.

Not to mention that Scott is the same age (25) as Crochet. The club would get fewer years of control with Crochet, but would get a much better pitcher with elite strikeout stuff for a very manageable salary.

It’s doubtful the Mets would make such a trade, especially given Steve Cohen’s goal of building a deep farm system to fuel a sustainable winning club at the highest level. But a pitcher like this, at this age, is never available on the trade market. A player like this is worth the cost of a couple of top-100 prospects.